tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5451293729956719632.post2160176048468616038..comments2008-03-01T01:32:35.439ZPanayiotis Zaphirisnoreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5451293729956719632.post-68036784215327241172008-03-01T01:32:00.000Z2008-03-01T01:32:00.000ZThere are some simple reasons why Papadopoulos support was overstated in published polls.<BR/>1. Most polls were conducted via telephone, using the CYTA directory as their sample frame. This exluded about one third of the electorate from their sample. kasoulidis was the one that was affected more negatively out of this exclusion.<BR/>2.Some polls (ANT1, SYmmetron) simply kept lying by reporting higher Tassos numbers because his strategists thought that would bring in more votes. Other pollsters were pressured to do the same.<BR/>3. Pollsters kept weighting based on party percentages. Basically they doubled the EYROKO and EDEK votes because they could not find more than 50% of expected sample voters saying that they did vote for them. (In fact, these people were claiming to have voted DHSY and AKEL. Technically what pollesters were doing actually gave Tassos a few extra points, because they were assuming that these deserters were going to behave as loyal EDEK and EYROKO supportes.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com